Power Reports Q3 2012 for Southern Africa on MarketReportsOnline.com


MarketReportsOnline.com adds Q3 2012 reports for Power Industry of multiple countries to its store. Following are the report briefs:

Southern Africa Power Report Q3 2012
Angola BMI View: Despite being an oil-rich country and net exporter, Angola’s domestic power supply is met by energy generated by hydroelectricity, with only a small percentage of energy generation coming from alternative sources. The country is making some progress towards diversifying its energy mix: some new thermal capacity is planned, and a LNG project is scheduled to begin construction in May 2012, but other areas, namely solar power, remain undeveloped. An election year is upon Angola, and while BMI does not expect a change in government – President Dos Santos has been in power for over 30 years – the government announced it will spend US$16.5bn in electricity infrastructure between 2012 and 2016. 

 

Namibia Power Report Q3 2012

Namibia’s state-owned utility, NamPower, has announced that the country faces a 80 megawatt (MW) power deficit in 2012, and that this will rise to 150MW in 2013 and reach 300MW by 2015. With new large-scale capacity from thermal or hydroelectric power plants not scheduled to become operational until 2016, Namibia has devised a short-term solution to meet its energy needs, one that combines power purchase agreements from neighbouring countries, negotiations with independent power providers and temporary fixes to extend the capacity at existing plants. While BMI welcomes the government’s transparency over its energy sector, we question how NamPower will fund these proposed solutions, and believe that in the short term at least, the market will be characterised by load dropping.

Botswana Power Report Q3 2012
With almost all of its domestically produced energy sourced from coal-fired power stations, Botswana has a very narrow power base – and as continued outages illustrate, it is not capable of meeting national consumption requirements. In order to raise capacity, the government plans to boost energy production from coal-fired sources with the goal of reaching self-sufficiency and reducing dependence upon unreliable, and expensive, imports from South Africa. Botswana is not the only country to suffer from shortages and in April 2012 it entered into an agreement with Namibia’s NamPower, along with Zimbabwe and Zambia, to improve and control energy consumption in these four countries. In the five years period 2011 to 2016, BMI forecasts that Botswana's overall power generation will increase by an annual average of 28.4%, to reach 2.0TWh. We expect all of this growth to come from new or existing coal-fired power plants. Botswana’s government plans to expand its domestic power production – in turn, reducing its dependence upon neighbouring South Africa for energy imports throughout the course of 2012 – by developing new coal-fired power facilities, such as the Mmamabula coal-fired power plant, which is being constructed by Canada's CIC Energy Corp. There is scope for renewable energy development, solar power in particular; feasibility for one 200MW solar power project began in late 2011, with its completion expected in September 2012. There are also plans for the introduction of renewable energy Feed-In Tariffs (FITs). 

Angola Power Report Q3 2012

Despite being an oil-rich country and net exporter, Angola’s domestic power supply is met by energy generated by hydroelectricity, with only a small percentage of energy generation coming from alternative sources. The country is making some progress towards diversifying its energy mix: some new thermal capacity is planned, and a LNG project is scheduled to begin construction in May 2012, but other areas, namely solar power, remain undeveloped. An election year is upon Angola, and while BMI does not expect a change in government – President Dos Santos has been in power for over 30 years – the government announced it will spend US$16.5bn in electricity infrastructure between 2012 and 2016.  Whether this promise is fulfilled post-election remains to be seen. BMI forecasts that Angola's overall power generation will increase by an annual average of 9.7% between 2011 and 2016, to reach 6.76 terwatt hours (TWh). A 10.0% annual average increase in hydropower will spur this growth, and this will continue to be the source of the majority of Angola’s domestic energy production over the forecast period. We envisage Angola's net power consumption increasing from 3.65TWh in 2011 to 5.78TWh by 2016. A steady increase in GDP will support growth; following real GDP growth of 5.2% in 2011, BMI forecasts average annual growth of 7.8% between 2011 and 2021. 

Zimbabwe Power Report Q3 2012
http://www.marketreportsonline.com/163024-zimbabwe-power-re.html

Zimbabwe’s power requirements are met through a combination of domestic coal-fired and hydroelectric power plants and imports, although the unreliability of both sources mean that outages are commonplace, affecting the country’s economic development and increasing operational risks for existing, and potential, investors. With an acute need to increase domestic capacity, the government is keen for independent power providers to invest and this quarter will announce the successful bidders for two power station expansion projects, at the thermal Hwange station and the hydroelectric plant, Kariba South. Renewables play a minor role in energy procurement, and BMI does not expect that they will gain importance over the forecast period.


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